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Betting English Premier League – English Premier League Picks For The Weekend

Posted by Todd Shale on 3/28/2012 4:13:24 PM
betting english premier league

Soccer sports betting sharps know that all the action at this time of the season doesn’t happen at the top of the table; some of the most thrilling matches that will take place over the next few weeks involve teams at the bottom, trying to avoid relegation, one of the most unique aspects of soccer (and one that should be looked at by North American leagues).

Two of the three English Premier League matches we’ll examine this weekend involve teams trying to avoid the dreaded “drop” as Aston Villa hosts Chelsea and Queens Park Rangers will welcome Arsenal to town. On Sunday, Newcastle will aim to extend the gap between themselves and Liverpool.

Chelsea Aston Villa Odds – Saturday, 10:00 AM ET

Villa sits in 15th place, eight points above the relegation zone, which seems safe, but all it takes is a couple losses combined with wins by the teams below them and Villa supporters would start panicking. Making matters worse, Villa has four wins and six losses in 14 matches at Villa Park this season, and they’re going to be without Charles N’Zogbia and Alan Hutton. They’re also coming off a 3-0 loss at Arsenal.

The Blues won 1-0 at Benfica in the Champions League on Tuesday, and now have to turn their attention back to England, where they are in fifth place and just five points behind stuttering Tottenham, although Chelsea missed a huge chance to make up ground on Spurs in a 0-0 draw with their London rivals at Stamford Bridge last weekend.

Chelsea is favored at -107 away from home, while Villa is rated at +300 and a draw at +220. But Villa has held their own with three wins and four draws in their last 10 against Chelsea, and they should be able to do enough to come away with a point at Villa Park.

Soccer Betting Pick: Draw

Arsenal QPR Odds – Saturday, 10:00 AM ET

QPR is right in the thick of the relegation race in 18th place with 25 points, and they were thumped 3-1 at Sunderland in their last match. Djbril Cisse picked up a red card that not only put QPR a man down for the last 35 minutes of the match, but he’ll miss four of the last eight games of the season. QPR fans are also booing Joey Barton and it seems like it’s all coming apart for Hoops.

Arsenal sit in third place, three points ahead of rival Tottenham, and they are on a roll with six straight wins after dominating Aston Villa. That also includes a 3-0 win over AC Milan in the Champions League and even though they came up short on aggregate by a score of 4-3 thanks to a poor night in Italy, it was the type of game that gives the Gunners confidence for the title run-in.

The Gunners are -145 favorites away from home, while QPR is rated at +440 and a draw comes in at +250. Arsenal has three wins and two draws in seven matches against QPR, who have three wins and seven losses in 15 matches at Loftus Road and even though they’ll push Arsenal, the Gunners are simply playing too well right now.

Soccer Betting Pick: Arsenal

Liverpool Newcastle Odds – Sunday, 8:30 AM ET

Newcastle is in sixth place, eight points ahead of Liverpool, who have dropped their last two games in the Premiership and are now trying to hold off a slew of teams that are within a handful of points of the Reds. Liverpool could be without Charlie Adam for the rest of the season because of a knee injury, but the major storyline for this match will be the return of Andy Carroll to St. James Park. Carroll made a big-money move to Liverpool during the transfer window in January, and he’ll be booed throughout the match.

The Magpies defeated West Brom 3-1 away from home in their last match and they’re now tied on 50 points with Chelsea. A European spot isn’t out of the question for Newcastle, who sold off players like Carroll and the aforementioned Barton, which angered their fans at the time, but it seems to have worked out for them quite nicely.

Liverpool is actually the away favorite at +140, while Newcaste is listed at +185 and a draw comes in at +225. The Reds have eight wins and two losses in their last 10 against Newcastle, but this Newcastle squad is plenty motivated, especially with Carroll on the other side of the pitch and they’ll come away with the online betting “upset” in this match.

Soccer Betting Pick: Newcastle

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