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Germany Greece Betting Predictions –Germans Roll Past Shorthanded Greeks

Posted by Todd Shale on 6/19/2012 4:12:49 PM

Online betting players were always going to favor Germany over Greece in a quarterfinal match at Euro 2012, but the Greeks will be without their captain and that is a major blow to any small chance they had against a German team that should be preparing to play their best soccer.

What: Soccer Betting
When: Friday, June 22nd, 2:45 PM ET
Where: PGE Arena, Gdansk, Poland
Pick: Germany

Why Bet On Germany

The Germans are the only team to win all three group-stage matches so far after they wrapped up the top spot in Group B with a 2-1 win over Denmark, and it was a well-rounded effort for Germany throughout the tournament. Mario Gomez leads all scorers with three goals, although he probably could have added to it against the Danes, while Lukas Podolski scored in the final group match and they can always call on Miroslav Klose. The midfield has been absolutely brilliant, led by the exploits of Bastian Schweinsteiger, who has two assists and has been running his socks off in the middle of the park. Mesut Ozil is the most creative player in the German side, while Thomas Muller and Sami Khedira have also played very well while Scheweinsteiger shields a back four. In terms of a front seven, only Spain can compete with the Germans and you could definitely argue that Germany’s group has played better than the only team that is higher than them on the soccer betting list. And the scary part is, Germany hasn’t played their best yet.

The back four has been decent when they’ve been called upon in the group stage, but decent isn’t good enough if the Germans are going to win their fourth European Championship. We saw them struggle at points in the later stages of the World Cup and Denmark’s goal against the run of play is enough worry some soccer betting sharps who are wagering on the Germans. From keeper Manuel Neuer out, the Germans aren’t as stout at the back as usual, but they can’t afford to let Greece score on one of the few chances that they’ll manage.

Why Bet On Greece

The Greeks got a massive 1-0 win over Russia in what has probably been the upset of the tournament so far as captain Giorgos Karagounis claimed a huge goal just before halftime, but later on he picked up a second yellow card that will rule him out against the Germans. Greece knows that they don’t have the firepower to hang with many teams in the tournament, so they have stuck to the gameplan that really won them Euro 2004, which is to defend and hit on the counterattack and once you score a goal, defend as if your life depends on it. In their final match, Greece managed five shots and only two hit the target, while the Russians had 25 shots and hit the target with 10, so the Greeks got a little fortunate that their opponents couldn’t even hit the goal. However, it takes a special sort of team to absorb that much pressure and still keep a clean sheet, and the Greeks pulled off one of the biggest upsets in the history of the European Championship.

However, it is going to be a huge ask of the Greeks to beat the Germans without Karagounis, who was celebrating his 120th appearance with the national team, which tied the record. He has plenty of experience and has been doing everything that has been asked of him; to say he is the heart and soul of the team would be an understatement and Karagounis would have been the key against the Germans because of his ability to sit in front of the back four. Karagounis is one of three players that will miss this game, but he is by far the most important.

How It Will Play Out

Germany is a sizeable soccer betting favorite in this match at -325, while Greece is listed at +900 and a draw is valued at +370. The only time these two have met was in the group stage of the 2002 World Cup tournament, in which Germany won by scores of 2-0 and 4-2 and now, they have to go at the favorites without their best and most inspirational player.

While Greece will put up a fight, the Germans have too many weapons and eventually, they’re going to break through and the Greeks don’t have the offensive talent to catch them on the counter. Germany has yet to really put their foot on the gas and they probably learned a few things while playing against a defensive-minded team in Denmark; in fact, Portugal also set out their stall against the Germans as well, and they’re both better teams than Greece. Look for Germany to cruise in your sports betting book.

Germany Greece Betting Pick: Germany


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