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Germany Spain Betting – Germans Continue to Roll, Drop Disappointing Spain

Posted by Todd Shale on 7/5/2010 2:22:55 PM

Spain was the online betting pre-World Cup favorite coming into South Africa, but they’ve yet to play to their full potential. Meanwhile, Germany has been arguably the impressive team of the tournament, and Spain won’t be able to get the breaks they’ve gotten in their past games as the Germans will reach another World Cup final.

  • What: World Cup Betting
  • When: Wednesday, July 7th, 2:30 PM ET
  • Where: Moses Mabhida Stadium, Durban
  • Key Stats: Germany has won eight and drawn six of their 20 meetings with Spain

The Storyline

The Germans are aiming to reach the World Cup final for the eighth time in their history after a 4-0 trouncing of Argentina in the quarterfinals, in what may have been the best team performance in South Africa so far. The Spaniards still haven’t played their best match, but they’ll take a 1-0 win over Paraguay in the last round in a match that saw two penalties saved in the span of three minutes.

Who Has The Edge On Offense: Germany Spain Betting

The Germans will be missing Thomas Mueller, who scored after three minutes against the Argentineans, but he also received a yellow card to keep him out of the semifinals. However, Miroslav Klose showed he’s still one of the best international strikers in the world with a two-goal haul against Argentina, while Lukas Podolski played well, and Bastian Schweinsteiger had a man-of-the-match effort. Mesut Ozil has been one of the revelations of the World Cup.

David Villa has been a one-man wrecking crew for the Spaniards, who also have Xavi running things in midfield. However, you have to wonder how long manager Vicente del Bosque will stick with Fernando Torres, who has missed a number of chances in South Africa as he’s tried to play his way back into shape after a knee injury kept him sidelined for the last part of the club season. This puts a lot of pressure on Villa to score.

Edge: Germany

Who Has The Edge In Defense: Germany Spain Betting

Outside of a 10-minute span at the beginning of the second half, Germany had Argentina in their pockets. They never let Lionel Messi dominate the game, causing the forward to drop back into defense to pick up the ball. As good as he is going forward, Schweinsteiger is also adept at breaking up plays in midfield, and he was a monster against Argentina.

Spain has been excellent defensively, and goalkeeper/captain Iker Casillas has gotten better with each match. He stopped a penalty against Paraguay and kept them at bay when Paraguay was better in the first half. Sergio Busquets has been quietly solid in front of the back four for Spain.

Edge: Draw

Notable Injuries – Germany Spain Betting

Both teams have no major injuries ahead of this massive showdown.

Edge: Draw

Totals – Germany Spain Betting

This should go over the posted total of 2.5, although both do have solid defenses. The chances of this will go up if Germany gets the lead, because they’ve proven to be lethal on the counterattack.

Pick: Over 2.5

Germany Spain Betting Prediction & Outlook

Spain is the slight favorite in this contest at +155, while Germany is rated at +170, and a draw comes in at +225. These two have met 20 times, with Germany winning eight and drawing six, outscoring the Spanish 27-22. Spain were the pre-tournament favorites, but they’ve been barely getting through their matches. Meanwhile, the Germans have been their efficient selves, scoring four goals in three of their matches in South Africa. The winner of the midfield matchup between Schweinsteiger and Xavi will have a major effect on this match, but also, Germany has more scoring options than Spain right now, even with Mueller out. Take the Germans in your sports betting picks on Wednesday.

Bet World Cup: Germany +170

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