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Inter vs Juve Betting Odds - Inter continues march to the crown, shuts down Juve

Posted by Todd Shale on 12/3/2009 11:59:38 AM

Soccer Odds: Pick Inter +170, UNDER 2.5

soccer oddsOnline betting players are watching Inter Milan roll towards their fifth consecutive Serie A title, and they could have a double-digit lead at the top of the table by the time New Years comes around. The Nerazzuri will head to Turin on Saturday in Italy’s marquee matchup, and they’ll be too much for a Juventus squad that can’t seem to keep the ball out of the net.

Inter vs Juve betting odds: Juve +150; Inter +170; Draw +200
WHAT: Soccer betting
WHEN: Saturday, December 5, 2:45 PM ET
WHERE: Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin, Italy
KEY STAT: Inter has won four and drawn three of their last 10 meetings with Juve

Inter vs Juve betting odds maker breakdown: The Storyline
Inter bounced back from a 2-0 loss at Barca in the Champions League to beat Fiorentina 1-0 at home, and they now have a seven-point lead over AC Milan in the Serie A. Inter leads Juve by eight points, and the “Old Lady” of Italy has dropped their last two games, one in the Champions League at Bordeaux, and then again at Cagliari by a 2-0 score. Juve can’t afford to lose any more points to Inter, who won’t drop too many throughout the year.

Betting Edge: Juve

Inter vs Juve betting odds maker breakdown: Offense
The four-time defending champions lead the league in goals scored, and they’ve won the last five matches in which Diego Milito has found the back of the net. Milito has paid off big since coming to Inter in the summer, leading the team in goals with nine, while Samuel E’to, who came over in the Zlatan Ibrahimovic deal with Barca has six. Wesley Sneijder was bought from Real Madrid for his midfield creativity, and he hasn’t disappointed, but he’ll miss this game through injury. Maicon is also effective.

Juventus is second to Inter in goals scored, and they’ll be delighted to see David Trezeguet back in the lineup after missing a month with a calf injury. Despite playing only six games, Trezeguet’s six goals leads the club, and given their recent problems scoring goals, to say they need him is an understatement. Mauro Camoranesi and Diego add offense from midfield, but having Trezeguet gives Juve a proven finisher. There also has to be a spot for Alessandro Del Piero.

Betting Edge: Inter

Inter vs Juve betting odds maker breakdown: Defense
The Nerazzuri also leads Serie A in goals allowed with 11 in 14 matches, and captain Javier Zanetti has played in all 14 at fullback. Keeper Julio Cesar has also played in all 14 matches, while Walter Samuel, Lucio and Cristian Chivu round out the first-choice defenders.

Juve has allowed 15 goals in 14 Serie A matches, but giving up four in their last two overall has to be a bit worrying, even if those two games were away from home. Keeper Gianluigi Buffon and Georgio Chiellini have played all 14 league matches, but Fabio Cannavaro is getting up there in age.

Betting Edge: Inter

Inter vs Juve betting odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries
Sneijder (thigh) has been out since prior to the international break, and it’s extremely doubtful that he’ll see the pitch in the Derby d’Italia.

Felipe Melo (leg) was hurt a couple of weeks ago while training for Brazil, and manager Ciro Ferrara is bringing him back slowly.

Betting Edge: Draw

Inter vs Juve betting odds maker breakdown: Totals
Five of the last 10 have gone under the posted total in your online sportsbook, including both meetings last season. Given Juve’s goal-scoring troubles and Inter’s defense, this will probably swing towards the under once again.

Pick: UNDER 2.5

Inter vs Juve betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick
It’s tough to see Inter not coming away with a win in this one, even at Juve, where they have two wins and a draw in their last five trips. Trezeguet isn’t going to be the same right away, and even a 100%-fit Trezeguet would have problems scoring against this tight Inter defense. Offensively, Inter has a lot of weapons and the Juve defense is struggling.

TODD’S PICK: Inter +170

For more sports betting picks on the pitch for English, as well as European matches visit Todd weekly in the Betting Edge at BetOnline.



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