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Inter vs Milan Odds - Goals will flow, but Milan rivals will share the spoils

Posted by Todd Shale on 4/25/2012 11:29:04 AM
soccer betting oddsSoccer betting players are always excited for the Milan Derby, as AC Milan “hosts” Inter Milan, the four-time defending champions. It’s never a dull moment when these two get together, and with both defenses off to a slow start, there looks to be an exciting draw in the works.

Inter vs Milan Odds: (Milan: +226 – Draw: +224 – Inter: +162)

  • WHAT: Italian soccer betting action
  • WHEN: Saturday, August 29, 2:45 PM ET
  • WHERE: San Siro, Milan
  • KEY STAT: These two have split their last 10 meetings
  • PICK: Draw

Inter vs Milan odds maker breakdown: Offense

New signing Samuel E’to scored in his Serie A debut in a 1-1 draw against Bari, while Diego Alberto netted a pair when Inter beat Milan 2-0 in a friendly match in the United States. Alex Pato scored twice in a 2-1 win at Siena, and Ronaldinho looked rejuvenated with a pair of assists in five games. Milan needs Ronaldinho to get back to his best with the sale of Kaka, and with Pato, the two has the potential to be the deadliest attacking duo in Europe.

Betting Edge: Milan

Inter vs Milan odds maker breakdown: Defense

Both defenses looked shaky in their opening Serie A games, as Inter allowed Bari to have 13 shots, and they gave up an equalizer with 16 minutes left. The core of Milan’s defense, like Gennaro Gattuso and Alessandro Nesta, are getting on in age. Inter doesn’t lack for experience at the back either with captain Javier Zanetti and Marco Materazzi both 36 years old. Due to manager Jose Mourinho’s tactical brilliance, Inter gets the slight sports betting edge here.

Betting Edge: Inter

Inter vs Milan odds maker breakdown: Coaching

Mourinho led Inter to the league title in his first season, and any team managed by the Portuguese has to be an online betting threat. He’s won league titles in Portugal, England and Italy, and he won the Champions League with Porto in 2004. Milan has a new coach, Leonardo, who takes over for Carlo Ancelotti, who coincidentally left for Mourinho’s former club, Chelsea. Leonardo won the World Cup while playing with Brazil in 1994, and he spent four seasons in Milan as a player. While he knows the players and the system well--he he was a scout--he’ll soon find out that it’s much different when you’re the man in charge.

Betting Edge: Inter

Inter vs Milan odds maker breakdown: Notable Injuries

Inter should be missing Esteban Cambassio, one of their best midfielders, while Milan will be without Morco Boriello, who partners Pato up front in the Milan attack.

Betting Edge: Milan

Inter vs Milan betting breakdown: Outlook and Pick

City rivals since 1908, these two have met 271 times, with Milan winning 106. Despite Inter’s recent dominance over Serie A, they’ve split their last 10 meetings. Home-field advantage doesn’t mean anything as they share the San Siro, which could be a major reason why they’ve been so even recently. Neither defense looked good in their league debuts, and they could be in trouble with all the attacking talent on the pitch. There will be goals, surely, but as even as these two are, it’s looking like a draw in the 272nd edition of this legendary rivalry.


For more Inter vs Milan odds, soccer odds and matchups, visit the sportsbook at

Are you a fan of “The Beautiful Game”? Then you should try Todd Shale's “Beautiful Picks”. Though he enjoys a good rugby match, Todd is happiest when he can handicap a great soccer match - or football match, as he prefers to call it. Thoughts or questions?



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