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Milan vs Roma Betting Odds – Italian giants battle to stalemate in the Eternal City

Posted by Todd Shale on 3/5/2010 10:50:47 AM
Soccer Odds: Pick Draw +210

Online betting players will be in for one wild match-up in Rome this weekend, as AC Milan travels to face AS Roma in a clash of two top-three clubs in Serie A. Each side will be missing their leading scorer, but there are still plenty of attacking players that will take the pitch. With both trying to catch Inter Milan in the standings, nerves could creep into play, which will result in a draw.

  • Milan vs Roma Betting Odds: Roma +125; Milan +200; Draw +210
  • What: Soccer betting
  • When: Saturday, March 6, 2:45 PM ET
  • Where: Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy
  • KeyStats: has won five and drawn two of their last 10 meetings with Milan
The Storyline: Milan vs Roma Betting Odds

It’s the beginning of a big week for Milan, who face Manchester United in the second leg of their Champions League tie next Wednesday, and they’ve won three in a row since losing to United in the first leg at home. Roma was knocked out of the Europa League by Panathinaikos, and then drew at Napoli on Sunday. With a win, Roma can pull even with Milan, who sit in second in Serie A, and both are in comfortable positions to make the Champions League next year.

Offensive Matchups: Milan vs Roma Betting Odds

Milan’s attack suffered a blow as Alexandre Pato, who scored twice in a 3-1 win over Atalanta, left that match with a thigh injury and won’t play this weekend. This means Ronaldinho will have to be more clinical after missing a penalty late against Atalanta. This could also create more space for Marco Borriello, who returns from injury, or Klaas-Jan Huntelaar, who will be looking to make a start.

Roma has managed to stay afloat without captain Francesco Totti, who has been battling injuries over the last couple of months. Julio Baptista and Mirko Vucinic scored against Napoli, while John Arne Riise and Daniele De Rossi found the back of the net against Panathinaikos. Luca Toni has scored twice in four games after returning to Italy from Bayern Munich, but he’s been injured.

Betting Edge: Draw

Defensive Matchups: Milan vs Roma Betting Odds

The defense has improved since Alessandro Nesta returned from injury, but Manchester United showed that they can be exposed with speed. Milan is also going between Christian Abbiati and Dida in goal, and Gennaro Gattuso hasn’t been as good as he normally is as the defensive midfielder in Milan.

Roma’s defense has been susceptible to lapses in concentration, like at home against Panathinaikos, when they gave up three goals in the last five minutes of the first half. They also gave up a last-minute penalty to give away two points against Napoli. Roma’s first mission in the summer should be to buy a center-back.

Betting Edge: Milan

Notable Injuries: Milan vs Roma Betting Odds

Pato’s (thigh) knock is a major blow to Milan’s sportsbook odds, as he is their leading scorer and most clinical finisher. Milan is just hoping that he’ll be back for the second leg against United next week.

Totti (knee) has battled injuries all season, which is a shame as Italy heads into a World Cup year, and he has 10 goals in the 14 games he’s played this year. With him, Roma can beat anyone in Europe.

Betting Edge: Draw

Totals: Milan vs Roma Betting Odds

Even without Pato and Totti, these two can still put it in the back of the net, and seven of their last 10 have gone over the posted total, including Milan’s 2-1 win at home back in October. Both defenses have looked shaky lately, so we’re taking the over here.

Betting Edge: Over 2.5

Betting Prediction: Milan vs Roma Betting Odds

Roma has won five and drawn two of their last 10 against Milan, and they’re the favorites at home, where they are 11-0-2 in Serie A action. Milan has allowed the fewest away goals in Italy with 10, while Roma has scored 25 in the Eternal City. This will be a back-and-forth affair, and someone will likely notch a tying goal in the final five minutes of the match. Milan has more game-breakers, but Roma will be angry after losing to Panathinaikos at home.

Todd’s Pick: Draw +210

Get Todd’s sports betting picks each week in the Betting Edge at BetOnline.



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