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Predictions For Portugal Germany Betting – Germany Drops Portugal In Group B Opener

Posted by Todd Shale on 6/6/2012 2:50:10 PM

Online betting odds have Germany as one of the favorites to win Euro 2012, along with Spain, even though the Germans have been put in the “group of death” for this tournament. They’ll open up the European Championship against Portugal, a team that has the best individual player in the group, but they don’t have the squad to compete with the Germans.

What: Soccer Betting
When: Saturday, June 9th, 2:45 PM ET
Where: Arena Lviv, Lviv, Ukraine
Pick: Germany

Why Bet On Portugal

When Cristiano Ronaldo is on the pitch, Portugal always has a chance as the captain can create something out of nothing as well as anyone in the world. Ronaldo scored 60 goals for Real Madrid this season, but he has yet to really dominate a tournament for his country as he does his club, and at 27, he is in the prime of his career. However, Ronaldo will need a little help and it’ll probably come from Nani, who was tipped to replace him at Manchester United and can be a nuisance with his quick feet and pace on the wing. Portugal doesn’t have much in the way of strikers, so Ronaldo and Nani will be given full license to do what they want. In defense, Bruno Alves and Pepe can be solid, but they can also pick up cards needlessly and they can’t afford to in this tournament as Portugal doesn’t have much depth back there.

Manager Paulo Bento knows all about the pressure of the European Championship as he played in the 2000 semifinals against France, and was one of the players suspended for an outburst at officials. Portugal will need him to keep his wits about him better now, because Bento has the task of steering Portugal through an incredibly tough group with Germany, the Netherlands and Denmark. On one hand, there is no pressure to get through as Germany and Holland are favored, but on the other side, Portugal has gotten through the group stage in each of the last four European Championships. Balancing that pressure will be key for Bento.

Why Bet On Germany

The German powerhouse rolls on, although they haven’t won a major tournament since the 1996 European Championship, which was their third win on the continent. They may have been the best team at the World Cup in 2010 despite finishing third as Germany played an exciting brand of soccer that sometimes left them exposed at the back, but it was fun to watch and a Spain-Germany rematch after the Euro 2008 final, which was won by Spain, is something that everyone wants.

Up front, you have Mario Gomez and Miroslav Klose, along with Lukas Podolski. The midfield is loaded with Thomas Muller, Mesut Ozil and Bastian Schweinsteiger, and captain Philipp Lahm anchors the defense, although he may be asked to move from the right to the left. If there is an issue for the Germans, it is in central defense, where Mats Hummels and Holger Badstuber are inexperienced and Per Mertesacker is coming off a terrible first season at Arsenal. That puts even more pressure on keeper Manuel Neuer, who may have his own issues after a penalty shootout loss to Chelsea with Bayern Munich in the Champions League final.

Joachim Low has ushered in a new era of German soccer with his willingness to open up the attack and let his players create, which is fine for neutrals, but he may have to rein it in a little as Germany gets further into the tournament. They still gave up two goals in a third-place win over Uruguay in South Africa, and there have been times in the build-up to Euro 2012 that the defense has looked shaky. Low has to either instill more trust and confidence in the central defenders that he has, or ask Schweinsteiger to sit even deeper as a defensive shield, which will hurt the attack.

How It Will Play Out

The soccer betting odds for this anticipated Group B showdown has Germany as a +108 favorite in Lviv, while Portugal comes in at +255, while a draw is listed at +225. Germany has won eight and drawn five of their 16 all-time meetings with Portugal, and they’ve won both meetings since 2006, a 3-1 victory for third place at the 2006 World Cup, and then a 3-2 win in the quarterfinals of Euro 2008.

This should be a thrilling match with both teams looking to take advantage of the opposition’s defense, but Germany simply has more options, especially up front. Portugal hasn’t had a decent striker in years and that could come back to bite them at this tournament. Look for Germany to keep pushing and pick up a victory in your sports betting picks on Saturday.

Portugal Germany Betting Pick: Germany


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