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Spain Euro Cup Betting Prediction – History Is Against Them, But Spain Has A Great Shot To Win Euro 2012

Posted by Todd Shale on 5/23/2012 4:18:00 PM

Online betting players have watched Spain become an international power after years of disappointment as they followed up their Euro 2008 win with a victory at World Cup 2010. The Spanish have a few injuries at the back, but don’t count them out, whatever you do.

Manager: Vicente Del Bosque (since July 2008)
Best Euro Finish: Champions (1964, 2008)
Soccer Betting Odds: -190 to win Group C, +225 to win Euro 2012

Offense

Spain won all eight of their qualification matches, scoring 26 goals along the way and seven of those came from David Villa, but they’ll have to do without their all-time leading scorer as Villa suffered a broken leg in December and isn’t ready to play a role in Spain’s title defense. Now, the onus is on Fernando Torres, who has been dreadful since moving to Chelsea and is looking at this tournament as an audition to switch clubs, and Alvaro Negredo may also have to step up to the big stage and score goals, although he doesn’t have much experience.

Most of Spain’s offense could actually come from midfield, which isn’t completely set as Barcelona has to play in the Copa Del Rey final on Friday against Athletic Bilbao, but we should find out which players make the squad by Sunday. You can basically bet that Xavi, Cesc Fabregas and Andres Iniesta (who scored the World Cup-winning goal in South Africa against the Netherlands) will make the team, and Barca trio will have to be immense in this tournament to make up for the lack of goals up front. Don’t forget about Xabi Alonso, David Silva and Juan Mata, and the latter pair can even move up to the striker position. When it comes to the Spanish attacking midfield options, the phrase, “embarrassment of riches” springs to mind.

Defense

While most soccer betting sharps are focused on Spain’s offense, they don’t have a poor defense, either, as they allowed just six goals in eight games. Their attack and style of play is essential to their defense as the opposition can’t go at Spain if they don’t have the ball, and that may have to be even more important this summer as there could be problems for “La Roja”. Carlos Puyol will have to sit out the tournament because of knee surgery, while Gerard Pique has taken a step back this year, as has Alvaro Arbeloa, although Spanish fans will hope that he has regained confidence from being a part of a Real Madrid side that finally overtook Barca in La Liga. Sergio Ramos and Raul Albiol will also be crucial to the team’s success at the back, and Sergio Busquets should be the holding midfielder when he comes from Barca.

Goalkeeper Iker Casillas has the most caps in Spain history at 128 at 31 years old, but he showed while playing for Real Madrid that he still has a lot left in the tank and his leadership is going to massive while Spain’s back line gets organized. It helps a lot, however, that most of his defense comes from his club team, so all are very familiar with each other.

Intangibles

Del Bosque replaced Luis Aragones after the team won Euro 2008 and Spain hasn’t missed a beat; in fact, they may play a better brand of soccer and they were, by far, the team of the tournament in South Africa. He is used to success both as a player and a manager, so Del Bosque isn’t afraid of the spotlight and he isn’t afraid to try new players out, which will be important as he looks to integrate the Barca players into the side.

These Spanish players know each other very well as most of them play in La Liga, and that has really helped them rise to the top of the world rankings. It is especially true of the Barca and Real Madrid players, and they’ll be the key once again this summer.

How It Will Play Out

Spain is the soccer betting favorite in Poland and the Ukraine at -190 to win Group C with Croatia, Italy and Ireland, and +225 to win the tournament, just in front of Germany. No team has ever won two European Championships in a row, nor have they won three major tournaments in a row, so Spain is looking to make a little history.

“La Roja” is going to be a force at Euro 2012 and you wouldn’t receive funny looks to laying a bet on them at all. It is going to be tough as many teams have studied how to beat the Spanish style of play; that is what happens when you’re at the top, but Spain is definitely worth a wager to defend their title in your Euro Cup betting book.


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