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Spain Portugal Betting Tips – Spain Reaches Euro 2012 Final, Holds Off Portugal

Posted by Todd Shale on 6/25/2012 4:53:01 PM

Online betting sharps should be preparing for a fascinating Euro 2012 match between rivals as Spain faces Portugal, who are dependent on one player, while the defending champions play more of a team game. At this point in the tournament, you need all hands on deck and Spain will force their opponents to tap out through their possession game.

What: Soccer Betting
When: Wednesday, June 27th, 2:45 PM ET
Where: Donbass Arena, Donetsk, Ukraine
Pick: Spain

Why Bet On Spain

The Spanish style was on full display in a 2-0 win over France as they passed the French into submission, and their opponents never really got into the game. Xabi Alonso won his 100th cap for the national team, and ended up with a pair of goals, including a late goal from the spot that sealed it. Alonso and Xavi continue to run the midfield show for the Spaniards, who started without a natural forward once again as Cesc Fabregas was called upon up front instead of Fernando Torres, who came on as a sub in the 67th minute for Fabregas, who is a midfielder, but has managed to carve his way into the team by playing the de factor striker position. David Villa, the leading scorer in Spanish history, would probably get the nod if he was healthy, and Torres has run hot and cold throughout the tournament, although some soccer betting sharps would put that down to Torres being shuffled in and out of the lineup.

Manager Vicente del Bosque isn’t worried about players having hurt feelings; you don’t win the last two major tournaments by coddling your players. What matters is who is able to finish up front because the power of the Spanish team lies in midfield, where the likes of Xavi, Alonso, Andres Iniesta, David Silva and Sergio Busquets have dominated. Iniesta and Silva are allowed to make runs into the box to support whoever the striker happens to be, so it isn’t like they’re up front alone. Spain is all about movement and retaining possession and when the opposition makes a mistake, they usually always make the right defense-splitting pass.

Why Bet On Portugal

Meanwhile, Portugal is much more of a one-player team, but in Cristiano Ronaldo, they have the one player that can turn a game on its head by himself and the captain was in brilliant form in a 1-0 win over the Czech Republic. Ronaldo put away the chance in the 79th minute that put away a Czech Republic team that had no interest in going forward, instead choosing to stay back and defend and when you give  a player like Ronaldo enough chances, eventually he is going to bury one. Ronaldo also got plenty of help from his sidekick, Nani, who has enough tricks and pace of his own that you have to account for him on the other side of the attack, which opens up a lot of room for Ronaldo. The defense and midfield really didn’t have much to do as the Czechs were content to let Portugal bring the game to them, and by the time that the Czechs decided they were going to attack (after Ronaldo scored), Portugal was in a mood already and had the game by the scruff of the neck.

Helder Postiga is probably going to sit out this match due to a hamstring problem, which means Hugo Almeida will get the start, but being a striker for Portugal is more of a job of pulling defenders around to make room for Ronaldo and Nani. Portugal looks like a one-man team, but they did manage to carry the team while Ronaldo got off to a slow start over the first two games of the campaign. However, now Ronaldo has scored the last three goals for Portugal in their last two matches and you get the feeling that he is shooting every time the ball touches his boots. This could bite the Portuguese against a true team like Spain.

How It Will Play Out

The Spanish are favored at -108 according to soccer betting odds, while Portugal is a +290 underdog against their neighbors and a draw comes in at +225. Spain has won 17 and drawn 12 of their 35 games against Portugal, who steamrolled Spain 4-0 in a friendly in November 2010. Revenge will be a factor as it was Spain’s largest loss ever against Portugal, and you know that “La Roja” has been waiting for a chance to face their neighbors again.

The onus will be on Portugal’s midfield to pressure Xavi and company because if they don’t, Ronaldo is going to be starved of service and he can’t score if he doesn’t have the ball, which is what Spain specializes in. Spain has been steadily improving throughout the tournament, and they’ll control this game with their short-passing style as they roll to a win in your sports betting book.

Spain Portugal Betting Pick: Spain


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